A report by the Atlantic Council Scoroft Center for Strategy and Security suggests that Russia may use nuclear weapons in the next decade, potentially leading to a significant downfall. The ongoing war between Russia and Ukraine, which has been ongoing for almost two years, may also have a considerable impact on Russia, making it one of the backward countries in the next ten years. The Atlantic Council released a list of countries that are likely to fail in the next ten years due to their current conditions, as estimated by over 150 professionals and ordinary citizens of America and European countries. The list includes countries that may either go away or may break internally. The report covers several topics, including geopolitics, climate change, the global economy, social and political activities, and more.
According to the report, Russia tops the list, with 46 percent of the respondents believing that it will either become a failed country or break up in the next ten years. The report also suggests that the war between Russia and Ukraine may lead to a significant downfall of Russia, the country with the world's most important nuclear weapons. Twenty-one percent of respondents believe that Russia will be seen as a failed country in a decade. Forty percent of the respondents believe that Russia will face internal disintegration due to civil war, political disintegration, or other reasons.
Regarding the possibility of Russia using nuclear weapons in the next ten years, the report states that it may lead to further disintegration and failure of the country. The report also predicts that by the end of this period, a democratic government is likely to become a democratic country. The report also includes other countries such as Afghanistan, Pakistan, Venezuela, the United States of America, the Central African Republic, Haiti, Nigeria, Lebanon, and Myanmar. The report suggests that due to their current conditions, these countries can become failed countries in ten years. The report provides:
For the Central African Republic, Haiti, and Nigeria, the predictions are at 3 percent, while for Lebanon and Myanmar, the projections are at 2 percent.